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Fed Funds Futures

Written by A Forex View From Afar on Tuesday, March 18, 2008

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Fed Funds Futures from March 17, 2008, for today's meeting outcome. Markets are pricing in a 1% cut. Look how suddenly the 150 points cut probability has increased.

FOMC meeting March outcome, Fed Funds Futures


Markets are already seeing almost a 90% chances of a 50 points rate in April's meeting. If they price such a rate cut now, more then one month earlier, and one more FOMC meeting ahead, how much will they price in before the actual meeting?

FOMC meeting April outcome, Fed Funds Futures

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Fundies and Trading
There is a constant question from some traders as to why anybody would ever need to consider the ‘F’ word when trading. Fundamentals: what is so damaging at looking at both Technical charts and having a Fundamental filter to gauge how many Lots to put on? Why is it that accepting that Technicals give us price points to trade, but Fundamentals determine the direction that we travel is so difficult for some traders to accept? Without a Fundamental Filter very few pure Technical traders would have seen this Dollar move coming today.

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